QNB Corp Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

QNBC Stock  USD 33.00  0.00  0.00%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of QNB Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 33.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.23. QNB Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast QNB Corp stock prices and determine the direction of QNB Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of QNB Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for QNB Corp - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When QNB Corp prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in QNB Corp price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of QNB Corp.

QNB Corp Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of QNB Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 33.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.23.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict QNB Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that QNB Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

QNB Corp Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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QNB Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting QNB Corp's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. QNB Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 32.39 and 33.74, respectively. We have considered QNB Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
33.00
33.06
Expected Value
33.74
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of QNB Corp pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent QNB Corp pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0222
MADMean absolute deviation0.1226
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0039
SAESum of the absolute errors7.2315
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past QNB Corp observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older QNB Corp observations.

Predictive Modules for QNB Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as QNB Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
32.3233.0033.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.2826.9636.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
32.6232.8233.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as QNB Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against QNB Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, QNB Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in QNB Corp.

Other Forecasting Options for QNB Corp

For every potential investor in QNB, whether a beginner or expert, QNB Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. QNB Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in QNB. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying QNB Corp's price trends.

QNB Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with QNB Corp pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of QNB Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing QNB Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

QNB Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of QNB Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of QNB Corp's current price.

QNB Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how QNB Corp pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading QNB Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying QNB Corp pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify QNB Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

QNB Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of QNB Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in QNB Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting qnb pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in QNB Pink Sheet

QNB Corp financial ratios help investors to determine whether QNB Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in QNB with respect to the benefits of owning QNB Corp security.