PTL Enterprises Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

PTL Stock   40.89  0.04  0.1%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of PTL Enterprises Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 40.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65 and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.63. PTL Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast PTL Enterprises stock prices and determine the direction of PTL Enterprises Limited's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of PTL Enterprises' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, PTL Enterprises' Total Current Liabilities is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Stockholder Equity is expected to grow to about 10.2 B, whereas Other Current Liabilities is forecasted to decline to about 120.5 M.
A naive forecasting model for PTL Enterprises is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of PTL Enterprises Limited value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

PTL Enterprises Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of PTL Enterprises Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 40.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65, mean absolute percentage error of 0.64, and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.63.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PTL Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PTL Enterprises' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

PTL Enterprises Stock Forecast Pattern

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PTL Enterprises Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting PTL Enterprises' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PTL Enterprises' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 38.98 and 41.47, respectively. We have considered PTL Enterprises' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
40.89
40.22
Expected Value
41.47
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PTL Enterprises stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PTL Enterprises stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.6575
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6497
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0155
SAESum of the absolute errors39.6339
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of PTL Enterprises Limited. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict PTL Enterprises. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for PTL Enterprises

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PTL Enterprises. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39.6440.8942.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.5439.7941.04
Details

Other Forecasting Options for PTL Enterprises

For every potential investor in PTL, whether a beginner or expert, PTL Enterprises' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PTL Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PTL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PTL Enterprises' price trends.

PTL Enterprises Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PTL Enterprises stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PTL Enterprises could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PTL Enterprises by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

PTL Enterprises Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of PTL Enterprises' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of PTL Enterprises' current price.

PTL Enterprises Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PTL Enterprises stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PTL Enterprises shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PTL Enterprises stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PTL Enterprises Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

PTL Enterprises Risk Indicators

The analysis of PTL Enterprises' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PTL Enterprises' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ptl stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in PTL Stock

PTL Enterprises financial ratios help investors to determine whether PTL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PTL with respect to the benefits of owning PTL Enterprises security.