Partners Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

PGPHF Stock  USD 1,494  2.33  0.16%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Partners Group on the next trading day is expected to be 1,494 with a mean absolute deviation of 27.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,654. Partners Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Partners' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Partners simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Partners Group are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Partners Group prices get older.

Partners Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Partners Group on the next trading day is expected to be 1,494 with a mean absolute deviation of 27.57, mean absolute percentage error of 1,314, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,654.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Partners Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Partners' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Partners Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Partners Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Partners' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Partners' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,492 and 1,497, respectively. We have considered Partners' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1,494
1,494
Expected Value
1,497
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Partners pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Partners pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria123.4533
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -2.3146
MADMean absolute deviation27.5733
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0189
SAESum of the absolute errors1654.4001
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Partners Group forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Partners observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Partners

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Partners Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,4921,4941,497
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,4771,4791,644
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
1,4641,5331,602
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Partners. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Partners' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Partners' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Partners Group.

Other Forecasting Options for Partners

For every potential investor in Partners, whether a beginner or expert, Partners' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Partners Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Partners. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Partners' price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Partners Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Partners' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Partners' current price.

Partners Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Partners pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Partners shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Partners pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Partners Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Partners Risk Indicators

The analysis of Partners' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Partners' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting partners pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Partners Pink Sheet

Partners financial ratios help investors to determine whether Partners Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Partners with respect to the benefits of owning Partners security.