PENN Entertainment, Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

P2EN34 Stock   11.79  0.00  0.00%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of PENN Entertainment, on the next trading day is expected to be 11.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.01. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast PENN Entertainment,'s stock prices and determine the direction of PENN Entertainment,'s future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of PENN Entertainment,'s historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for PENN Entertainment, is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

PENN Entertainment, 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 6th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of PENN Entertainment, on the next trading day is expected to be 11.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.01.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PENN Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PENN Entertainment,'s next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

PENN Entertainment, Stock Forecast Pattern

PENN Entertainment, Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting PENN Entertainment,'s Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PENN Entertainment,'s downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.23 and 13.35, respectively. We have considered PENN Entertainment,'s daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
11.79
11.79
Expected Value
13.35
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PENN Entertainment, stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PENN Entertainment, stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.9375
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0644
MADMean absolute deviation0.1054
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.009
SAESum of the absolute errors6.01
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of PENN Entertainment,. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for PENN Entertainment, and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for PENN Entertainment,

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PENN Entertainment,. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as PENN Entertainment,. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against PENN Entertainment,'s peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, PENN Entertainment,'s competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PENN Entertainment,.

Other Forecasting Options for PENN Entertainment,

For every potential investor in PENN, whether a beginner or expert, PENN Entertainment,'s price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PENN Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PENN. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PENN Entertainment,'s price trends.

PENN Entertainment, Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PENN Entertainment, stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PENN Entertainment, could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PENN Entertainment, by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

PENN Entertainment, Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of PENN Entertainment,'s price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of PENN Entertainment,'s current price.

PENN Entertainment, Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PENN Entertainment, stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PENN Entertainment, shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PENN Entertainment, stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PENN Entertainment, entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

PENN Entertainment, Risk Indicators

The analysis of PENN Entertainment,'s basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PENN Entertainment,'s investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting penn stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.