Oron Group Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

ORON Stock  ILS 969.00  31.00  3.10%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Oron Group Investments on the next trading day is expected to be 968.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 17.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,005. Oron Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Oron Group stock prices and determine the direction of Oron Group Investments's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Oron Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Oron Group - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Oron Group prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Oron Group price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Oron Group Investments.

Oron Group Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Oron Group Investments on the next trading day is expected to be 968.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 17.03, mean absolute percentage error of 583.46, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,005.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Oron Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Oron Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Oron Group Stock Forecast Pattern

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Oron Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Oron Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Oron Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 965.77 and 970.43, respectively. We have considered Oron Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
969.00
965.77
Downside
968.10
Expected Value
970.43
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Oron Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Oron Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -1.4763
MADMean absolute deviation17.0322
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0159
SAESum of the absolute errors1004.9
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Oron Group observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Oron Group Investments observations.

Predictive Modules for Oron Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oron Group Investments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
997.691,000.001,002
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
868.08870.391,100
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
969.491,0821,194
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Oron Group

For every potential investor in Oron, whether a beginner or expert, Oron Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Oron Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Oron. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Oron Group's price trends.

Oron Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Oron Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Oron Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Oron Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Oron Group Investments Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Oron Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Oron Group's current price.

Oron Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Oron Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Oron Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Oron Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Oron Group Investments entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Oron Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of Oron Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Oron Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting oron stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Oron Stock

Oron Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oron Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oron with respect to the benefits of owning Oron Group security.