ONEOK Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

ONK Stock  EUR 93.62  0.03  0.03%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of ONEOK Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 87.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 148.78. ONEOK Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ONEOK's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
ONEOK polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for ONEOK Inc as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

ONEOK Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of ONEOK Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 87.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.44, mean absolute percentage error of 9.82, and the sum of the absolute errors of 148.78.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ONEOK Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ONEOK's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ONEOK Stock Forecast Pattern

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ONEOK Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ONEOK's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ONEOK's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 86.05 and 89.78, respectively. We have considered ONEOK's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
93.62
87.91
Expected Value
89.78
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ONEOK stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ONEOK stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.395
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.439
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.026
SAESum of the absolute errors148.7776
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the ONEOK historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for ONEOK

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ONEOK Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
91.7693.6295.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
84.26107.31109.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
91.63100.92110.20
Details

Other Forecasting Options for ONEOK

For every potential investor in ONEOK, whether a beginner or expert, ONEOK's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ONEOK Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ONEOK. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ONEOK's price trends.

ONEOK Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ONEOK stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ONEOK could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ONEOK by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ONEOK Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ONEOK's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ONEOK's current price.

ONEOK Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ONEOK stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ONEOK shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ONEOK stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ONEOK Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ONEOK Risk Indicators

The analysis of ONEOK's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ONEOK's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting oneok stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in ONEOK Stock

When determining whether ONEOK Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze ONEOK's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact ONEOK's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding ONEOK Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ONEOK to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ONEOK's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ONEOK is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ONEOK's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.