Oaktree Acquisition Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

OACCU Stock   10.12  0.02  0.20%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Oaktree Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 10.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.88. Oaktree Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Oaktree Acquisition is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Oaktree Acquisition Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Oaktree Acquisition Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 21st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Oaktree Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 10.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.88.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Oaktree Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Oaktree Acquisition's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Oaktree Acquisition Stock Forecast Pattern

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Oaktree Acquisition Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Oaktree Acquisition's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Oaktree Acquisition's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.69 and 10.54, respectively. We have considered Oaktree Acquisition's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.12
10.12
Expected Value
10.54
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Oaktree Acquisition stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Oaktree Acquisition stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria74.4467
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0215
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0021
SAESum of the absolute errors0.8822
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Oaktree Acquisition Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Oaktree Acquisition. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Oaktree Acquisition

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oaktree Acquisition Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oaktree Acquisition's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.6910.1210.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.6910.1210.55
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Oaktree Acquisition

For every potential investor in Oaktree, whether a beginner or expert, Oaktree Acquisition's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Oaktree Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Oaktree. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Oaktree Acquisition's price trends.

Oaktree Acquisition Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Oaktree Acquisition stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Oaktree Acquisition could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Oaktree Acquisition by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Oaktree Acquisition Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Oaktree Acquisition's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Oaktree Acquisition's current price.

Oaktree Acquisition Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Oaktree Acquisition stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Oaktree Acquisition shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Oaktree Acquisition stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Oaktree Acquisition Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Oaktree Acquisition Risk Indicators

The analysis of Oaktree Acquisition's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Oaktree Acquisition's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting oaktree stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Oaktree Stock Analysis

When running Oaktree Acquisition's price analysis, check to measure Oaktree Acquisition's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oaktree Acquisition is operating at the current time. Most of Oaktree Acquisition's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oaktree Acquisition's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oaktree Acquisition's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oaktree Acquisition to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.