Nucor Corp Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

NUO Stock  EUR 120.16  0.32  0.27%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Nucor Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 120.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 121.09. Nucor Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Nucor Corp is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Nucor Corp Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 16th of March 2025

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Nucor Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 120.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.05, mean absolute percentage error of 7.97, and the sum of the absolute errors of 121.09.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nucor Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nucor Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nucor Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

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Nucor Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nucor Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nucor Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 118.26 and 122.06, respectively. We have considered Nucor Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
120.16
118.26
Downside
120.16
Expected Value
122.06
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nucor Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nucor Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.511
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0375
MADMean absolute deviation2.0524
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0166
SAESum of the absolute errors121.09
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Nucor Corp price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Nucor Corp. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Nucor Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nucor Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
118.26120.16122.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
100.83102.73132.18
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Nucor Corp

For every potential investor in Nucor, whether a beginner or expert, Nucor Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nucor Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nucor. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nucor Corp's price trends.

Nucor Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nucor Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nucor Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nucor Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nucor Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nucor Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nucor Corp's current price.

Nucor Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nucor Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nucor Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nucor Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nucor Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nucor Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nucor Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nucor Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nucor stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Nucor Stock Analysis

When running Nucor Corp's price analysis, check to measure Nucor Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nucor Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Nucor Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nucor Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nucor Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nucor Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.