NewGenIvf Group Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| NIVF Stock | 0.39 0.02 4.88% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of NewGenIvf Group Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.00. NewGenIvf Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of NewGenIvf Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
NewGenIvf |
NewGenIvf Group Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of NewGenIvf Group Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NewGenIvf Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NewGenIvf Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
NewGenIvf Group Stock Forecast Pattern
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NewGenIvf Group Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting NewGenIvf Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NewGenIvf Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 23.70, respectively. We have considered NewGenIvf Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NewGenIvf Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NewGenIvf Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0262 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0847 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1076 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.9953 |
Predictive Modules for NewGenIvf Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NewGenIvf Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NewGenIvf Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for NewGenIvf Group
For every potential investor in NewGenIvf, whether a beginner or expert, NewGenIvf Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NewGenIvf Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NewGenIvf. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NewGenIvf Group's price trends.NewGenIvf Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NewGenIvf Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NewGenIvf Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NewGenIvf Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
NewGenIvf Group Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of NewGenIvf Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of NewGenIvf Group's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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NewGenIvf Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NewGenIvf Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NewGenIvf Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NewGenIvf Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NewGenIvf Group Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
NewGenIvf Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of NewGenIvf Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NewGenIvf Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting newgenivf stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 9.57 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 9.88 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 22.75 | |||
| Variance | 517.7 | |||
| Downside Variance | 112.34 | |||
| Semi Variance | 97.58 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (13.33) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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When determining whether NewGenIvf Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze NewGenIvf Group's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact NewGenIvf Group's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding NewGenIvf Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NewGenIvf Group to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Is Health Care Providers & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NewGenIvf Group. If investors know NewGenIvf will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NewGenIvf Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of NewGenIvf Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NewGenIvf that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NewGenIvf Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NewGenIvf Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NewGenIvf Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NewGenIvf Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NewGenIvf Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NewGenIvf Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NewGenIvf Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.