Nabors Industries OTC Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

NBRWF Stock  USD 3.46  0.26  8.12%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nabors Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 3.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.14. Nabors OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nabors Industries' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Nabors Industries - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Nabors Industries prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Nabors Industries price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Nabors Industries.

Nabors Industries Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 31st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nabors Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 3.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.1, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.14.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nabors OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nabors Industries' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nabors Industries OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Nabors IndustriesNabors Industries Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Nabors Industries Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nabors Industries' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nabors Industries' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 9.55, respectively. We have considered Nabors Industries' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.46
3.39
Expected Value
9.55
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nabors Industries otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nabors Industries otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0333
MADMean absolute deviation0.2228
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0448
SAESum of the absolute errors13.1429
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Nabors Industries observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Nabors Industries observations.

Predictive Modules for Nabors Industries

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nabors Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nabors Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.173.469.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.173.329.48
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Nabors Industries

For every potential investor in Nabors, whether a beginner or expert, Nabors Industries' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nabors OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nabors. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nabors Industries' price trends.

Nabors Industries Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nabors Industries otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nabors Industries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nabors Industries by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nabors Industries Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nabors Industries' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nabors Industries' current price.

Nabors Industries Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nabors Industries otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nabors Industries shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nabors Industries otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nabors Industries entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nabors Industries Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nabors Industries' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nabors Industries' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nabors otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Nabors OTC Stock

When determining whether Nabors Industries is a strong investment it is important to analyze Nabors Industries' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Nabors Industries' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Nabors OTC Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nabors Industries to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Nabors OTC Stock please use our How to Invest in Nabors Industries guide.
You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nabors Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nabors Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nabors Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.