Navamedic ASA Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

NAVA Stock  NOK 25.00  0.70  2.72%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Navamedic ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 24.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.80 and the sum of the absolute errors of 73.72. Navamedic Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Navamedic ASA is based on a synthetically constructed Navamedic ASAdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Navamedic ASA 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Navamedic ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 24.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.80, mean absolute percentage error of 7.99, and the sum of the absolute errors of 73.72.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Navamedic Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Navamedic ASA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Navamedic ASA Stock Forecast Pattern

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Navamedic ASA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Navamedic ASA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Navamedic ASA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.69 and 28.29, respectively. We have considered Navamedic ASA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
25.00
24.99
Expected Value
28.29
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Navamedic ASA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Navamedic ASA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria83.4307
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.3943
MADMean absolute deviation1.7982
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0732
SAESum of the absolute errors73.725
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Navamedic ASA 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Navamedic ASA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Navamedic ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.7025.0028.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.8826.1829.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
24.2125.3226.43
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Navamedic ASA

For every potential investor in Navamedic, whether a beginner or expert, Navamedic ASA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Navamedic Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Navamedic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Navamedic ASA's price trends.

Navamedic ASA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Navamedic ASA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Navamedic ASA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Navamedic ASA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Navamedic ASA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Navamedic ASA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Navamedic ASA's current price.

Navamedic ASA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Navamedic ASA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Navamedic ASA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Navamedic ASA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Navamedic ASA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Navamedic ASA Risk Indicators

The analysis of Navamedic ASA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Navamedic ASA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting navamedic stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Navamedic Stock

Navamedic ASA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Navamedic Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Navamedic with respect to the benefits of owning Navamedic ASA security.