N Able Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

NABL Stock  USD 9.09  0.01  0.11%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of N Able Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 9.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.02. NABL Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although N Able's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of N Able's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of N Able fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, N Able's Payables Turnover is quite stable compared to the past year. Receivables Turnover is expected to rise to 10.31 this year, although the value of Asset Turnover will most likely fall to 0.24. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to rise to about 199 M this year. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to rise to about 20.2 M this year.

Open Interest Against 2025-04-17 NABL Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast N Able's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in N Able's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for N Able stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current N Able's open interest, investors have to compare it to N Able's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of N Able is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in NABL. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
N Able simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for N Able Inc are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as N Able Inc prices get older.

N Able Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 14th of January 2025

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of N Able Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 9.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.02.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NABL Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that N Able's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

N Able Stock Forecast Pattern

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N Able Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting N Able's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. N Able's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.42 and 10.76, respectively. We have considered N Able's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9.09
9.09
Expected Value
10.76
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of N Able stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent N Able stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.0271
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0573
MADMean absolute deviation0.1337
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0125
SAESum of the absolute errors8.02
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting N Able Inc forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent N Able observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for N Able

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as N Able Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.268.9310.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.1811.0012.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
8.949.8410.75
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
12.4113.6415.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as N Able. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against N Able's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, N Able's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in N Able Inc.

Other Forecasting Options for N Able

For every potential investor in NABL, whether a beginner or expert, N Able's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NABL Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NABL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying N Able's price trends.

N Able Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with N Able stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of N Able could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing N Able by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

N Able Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of N Able's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of N Able's current price.

N Able Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how N Able stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading N Able shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying N Able stock market strength indicators, traders can identify N Able Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

N Able Risk Indicators

The analysis of N Able's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in N Able's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nabl stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether N Able Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze N Able's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact N Able's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding NABL Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of N Able to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Is Systems Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of N Able. If investors know NABL will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about N Able listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.933
Earnings Share
0.2
Revenue Per Share
2.484
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.083
Return On Assets
0.0483
The market value of N Able Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NABL that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of N Able's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is N Able's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because N Able's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect N Able's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between N Able's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if N Able is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, N Able's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.