Moonpig Group Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

MOON Stock   221.00  3.00  1.38%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Moonpig Group PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 223.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.73 and the sum of the absolute errors of 462.44. Moonpig Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Moonpig Group's Good Will is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to gain to about 380.2 M in 2024, whereas Total Current Liabilities is likely to drop slightly above 75.5 M in 2024.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Moonpig Group is based on an artificially constructed time series of Moonpig Group daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Moonpig Group 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Moonpig Group PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 223.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.73, mean absolute percentage error of 170.72, and the sum of the absolute errors of 462.44.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Moonpig Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Moonpig Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Moonpig Group Stock Forecast Pattern

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Moonpig Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Moonpig Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Moonpig Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 220.38 and 225.99, respectively. We have considered Moonpig Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
221.00
220.38
Downside
223.19
Expected Value
225.99
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Moonpig Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Moonpig Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.5475
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.7205
MADMean absolute deviation8.7252
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0364
SAESum of the absolute errors462.4375
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Moonpig Group PLC 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Moonpig Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Moonpig Group PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
217.08219.88222.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
218.20221.00223.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
196.95236.32275.69
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.172.783.08
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Moonpig Group

For every potential investor in Moonpig, whether a beginner or expert, Moonpig Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Moonpig Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Moonpig. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Moonpig Group's price trends.

Moonpig Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Moonpig Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Moonpig Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Moonpig Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Moonpig Group PLC Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Moonpig Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Moonpig Group's current price.

Moonpig Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Moonpig Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Moonpig Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Moonpig Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Moonpig Group PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Moonpig Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of Moonpig Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Moonpig Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting moonpig stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Moonpig Stock Analysis

When running Moonpig Group's price analysis, check to measure Moonpig Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Moonpig Group is operating at the current time. Most of Moonpig Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Moonpig Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Moonpig Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Moonpig Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.