Maple Gold OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

MGMLF Stock  USD 0.04  0  4.76%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Maple Gold Mines on the next trading day is expected to be 0.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.13. Maple OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Maple Gold's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Maple Gold is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Maple Gold Mines value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Maple Gold Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Maple Gold Mines on the next trading day is expected to be 0.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000607, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.13.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Maple OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Maple Gold's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Maple Gold OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Maple Gold Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Maple Gold's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Maple Gold's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0004 and 6.02, respectively. We have considered Maple Gold's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.04
0.0004
Downside
0.05
Expected Value
6.02
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Maple Gold otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Maple Gold otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.0985
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0021
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0426
SAESum of the absolute errors0.1293
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Maple Gold Mines. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Maple Gold. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Maple Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Maple Gold Mines. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.046.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.046.04
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Maple Gold

For every potential investor in Maple, whether a beginner or expert, Maple Gold's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Maple OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Maple. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Maple Gold's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Maple Gold Mines Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Maple Gold's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Maple Gold's current price.

Maple Gold Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Maple Gold otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Maple Gold shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Maple Gold otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Maple Gold Mines entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Maple Gold Risk Indicators

The analysis of Maple Gold's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Maple Gold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting maple otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Maple OTC Stock

Maple Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Maple OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Maple with respect to the benefits of owning Maple Gold security.