Ramaco Resources Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

METC Stock  USD 12.18  0.57  4.47%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Ramaco Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 12.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.38. Ramaco Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Ramaco Resources stock prices and determine the direction of Ramaco Resources's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ramaco Resources' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The current year's Receivables Turnover is expected to grow to 11.41, whereas Inventory Turnover is forecasted to decline to 7.73. . The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 48 M, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 51.2 M.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Ramaco Resources is based on an artificially constructed time series of Ramaco Resources daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Ramaco Resources 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 4th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Ramaco Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 12.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52, mean absolute percentage error of 0.46, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.38.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ramaco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ramaco Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ramaco Resources Stock Forecast Pattern

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Ramaco Resources Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ramaco Resources' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ramaco Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.96 and 16.14, respectively. We have considered Ramaco Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.18
12.55
Expected Value
16.14
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ramaco Resources stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ramaco Resources stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria102.6326
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.2142
MADMean absolute deviation0.5165
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0448
SAESum of the absolute errors27.375
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Ramaco Resources 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Ramaco Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ramaco Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ramaco Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.4812.0715.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.4310.0213.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.9011.9312.97
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
9.3310.2511.38
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Ramaco Resources

For every potential investor in Ramaco, whether a beginner or expert, Ramaco Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ramaco Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ramaco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ramaco Resources' price trends.

Ramaco Resources Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ramaco Resources stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ramaco Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ramaco Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ramaco Resources Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ramaco Resources' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ramaco Resources' current price.

Ramaco Resources Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ramaco Resources stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ramaco Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ramaco Resources stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ramaco Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ramaco Resources Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ramaco Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ramaco Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ramaco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Ramaco Resources offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Ramaco Resources' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ramaco Resources Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ramaco Resources Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ramaco Resources to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Ramaco Stock refer to our How to Trade Ramaco Stock guide.
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Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ramaco Resources. If investors know Ramaco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ramaco Resources listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.34)
Dividend Share
0.538
Earnings Share
0.67
Revenue Per Share
14.816
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.10)
The market value of Ramaco Resources is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ramaco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ramaco Resources' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ramaco Resources' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ramaco Resources' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ramaco Resources' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ramaco Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ramaco Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ramaco Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.