Medical Care Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| MDCE Stock | USD 0 0.0006 35.29% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Medical Care Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01. Medical Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Medical Care stock prices and determine the direction of Medical Care Technologies's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Medical Care's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Medical |
Medical Care Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Medical Care Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000007, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Medical Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Medical Care's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Medical Care Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Medical Care Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Medical Care's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Medical Care's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000023 and 19.17, respectively. We have considered Medical Care's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Medical Care pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Medical Care pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 99.7972 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.0E-4 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1218 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0118 |
Predictive Modules for Medical Care
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Medical Care Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Medical Care's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Medical Care
For every potential investor in Medical, whether a beginner or expert, Medical Care's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Medical Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Medical. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Medical Care's price trends.Medical Care Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Medical Care pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Medical Care could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Medical Care by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Medical Care Technologies Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Medical Care's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Medical Care's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Medical Care Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Medical Care pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Medical Care shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Medical Care pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Medical Care Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Medical Care Risk Indicators
The analysis of Medical Care's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Medical Care's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting medical pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 13.87 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 12.49 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 19.52 | |||
| Variance | 380.92 | |||
| Downside Variance | 332.58 | |||
| Semi Variance | 155.96 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (24.50) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| BTC | Bitcoin | |
| TRX | TRON | |
| BNB | Binance Coin |
Other Information on Investing in Medical Pink Sheet
Medical Care financial ratios help investors to determine whether Medical Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Medical with respect to the benefits of owning Medical Care security.