My Chau Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

MCP Stock   30,000  100.00  0.33%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of My Chau Printing on the next trading day is expected to be 30,000 with a mean absolute deviation of 636.86 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37,575. MCP Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for My Chau is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

My Chau Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 16th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of My Chau Printing on the next trading day is expected to be 30,000 with a mean absolute deviation of 636.86, mean absolute percentage error of 1,304,824, and the sum of the absolute errors of 37,575.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MCP Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that My Chau's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

My Chau Stock Forecast Pattern

My Chau Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting My Chau's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. My Chau's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29,997 and 30,003, respectively. We have considered My Chau's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
30,000
29,997
Downside
30,000
Expected Value
30,003
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of My Chau stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent My Chau stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria128.5163
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -43.2203
MADMean absolute deviation636.8646
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0218
SAESum of the absolute errors37575.01
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of My Chau Printing price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of My Chau. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for My Chau

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as My Chau Printing. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29,99730,00030,003
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25,21425,21733,000
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
26,59929,43032,262
Details

Other Forecasting Options for My Chau

For every potential investor in MCP, whether a beginner or expert, My Chau's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MCP Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MCP. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying My Chau's price trends.

My Chau Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with My Chau stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of My Chau could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing My Chau by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

My Chau Printing Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of My Chau's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of My Chau's current price.

My Chau Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how My Chau stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading My Chau shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying My Chau stock market strength indicators, traders can identify My Chau Printing entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

My Chau Risk Indicators

The analysis of My Chau's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in My Chau's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mcp stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with My Chau

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if My Chau position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in My Chau will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against MCP Stock

  0.48AME Alphanam MEPairCorr
  0.43FIT FIT INVEST JSCPairCorr
  0.39AAA An Phat PlasticPairCorr
  0.37ADS Damsan JSCPairCorr
  0.36ABT Bentre Aquaproduct ImportPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to My Chau could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace My Chau when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back My Chau - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling My Chau Printing to buy it.
The correlation of My Chau is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as My Chau moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if My Chau Printing moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for My Chau can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in MCP Stock

My Chau financial ratios help investors to determine whether MCP Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MCP with respect to the benefits of owning My Chau security.