Maj Invest Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| MAJGANF Stock | 137.25 0.03 0.02% |
Maj |
Maj Invest Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Maj Invest Glob on the next trading day is expected to be 137.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.69, mean absolute percentage error of 1.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.27.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Maj Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Maj Invest's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Maj Invest Stock Forecast Pattern
Maj Invest Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Maj Invest's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Maj Invest's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 136.50 and 138.00, respectively. We have considered Maj Invest's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Maj Invest stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Maj Invest stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.3566 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0242 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6878 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.005 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 41.27 |
Predictive Modules for Maj Invest
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Maj Invest Glob. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Maj Invest. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Maj Invest's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Maj Invest's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Maj Invest Glob.Other Forecasting Options for Maj Invest
For every potential investor in Maj, whether a beginner or expert, Maj Invest's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Maj Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Maj. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Maj Invest's price trends.Maj Invest Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Maj Invest stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Maj Invest could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Maj Invest by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Maj Invest Glob Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Maj Invest's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Maj Invest's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Maj Invest Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Maj Invest stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Maj Invest shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Maj Invest stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Maj Invest Glob entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Maj Invest Risk Indicators
The analysis of Maj Invest's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Maj Invest's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting maj stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4921 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.5493 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.7445 | |||
| Variance | 0.5542 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.4368 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.3017 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.59) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Maj Invest
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Maj Invest position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Maj Invest will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Maj Stock
| 0.83 | VWS | Vestas Wind Systems | PairCorr |
| 0.66 | ORSTED | Orsted AS | PairCorr |
| 0.54 | GMAB | Genmab AS | PairCorr |
| 0.54 | CARL-B | Carlsberg AS | PairCorr |
| 0.32 | NOVO-B | Novo Nordisk AS | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Maj Invest could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Maj Invest when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Maj Invest - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Maj Invest Glob to buy it.
The correlation of Maj Invest is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Maj Invest moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Maj Invest Glob moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Maj Invest can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.