MAGNUM MINING Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

M8Z Stock  EUR 0.04  0.00  0.00%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of MAGNUM MINING EXP on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0003 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.02. MAGNUM Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast MAGNUM MINING stock prices and determine the direction of MAGNUM MINING EXP's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of MAGNUM MINING's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for MAGNUM MINING works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

MAGNUM MINING Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of MAGNUM MINING EXP on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0003, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0000045, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.02.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MAGNUM Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MAGNUM MINING's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

MAGNUM MINING Stock Forecast Pattern

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MAGNUM MINING Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting MAGNUM MINING's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MAGNUM MINING's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0004 and 3.51, respectively. We have considered MAGNUM MINING's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.04
0.0004
Downside
0.04
Expected Value
3.51
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MAGNUM MINING stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MAGNUM MINING stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 3.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation3.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0062
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0163
When MAGNUM MINING EXP prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any MAGNUM MINING EXP trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent MAGNUM MINING observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for MAGNUM MINING

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MAGNUM MINING EXP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.043.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.043.50
Details

Other Forecasting Options for MAGNUM MINING

For every potential investor in MAGNUM, whether a beginner or expert, MAGNUM MINING's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MAGNUM Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MAGNUM. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MAGNUM MINING's price trends.

MAGNUM MINING Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MAGNUM MINING stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MAGNUM MINING could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MAGNUM MINING by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

MAGNUM MINING EXP Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of MAGNUM MINING's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of MAGNUM MINING's current price.

MAGNUM MINING Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MAGNUM MINING stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MAGNUM MINING shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MAGNUM MINING stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MAGNUM MINING EXP entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

MAGNUM MINING Risk Indicators

The analysis of MAGNUM MINING's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MAGNUM MINING's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting magnum stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in MAGNUM Stock

MAGNUM MINING financial ratios help investors to determine whether MAGNUM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MAGNUM with respect to the benefits of owning MAGNUM MINING security.