Pasithea Therapeutics Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

KTTA Stock  USD 2.66  0.03  1.14%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Pasithea Therapeutics Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 2.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.14. Pasithea Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Pasithea Therapeutics stock prices and determine the direction of Pasithea Therapeutics Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Pasithea Therapeutics' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The current year's Payables Turnover is expected to grow to 0.27. The current year's Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 0.63. As of December 24, 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 1.2 M. The current year's Net Loss is expected to grow to about (1.9 M).

Pasithea Therapeutics Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Pasithea Therapeutics' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
16.3 M
Current Value
28.2 M
Quarterly Volatility
16.4 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Pasithea Therapeutics is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Pasithea Therapeutics Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Pasithea Therapeutics Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Pasithea Therapeutics Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 2.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.14.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pasithea Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pasithea Therapeutics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Pasithea Therapeutics Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Pasithea TherapeuticsPasithea Therapeutics Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Pasithea Therapeutics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Pasithea Therapeutics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pasithea Therapeutics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 10.77, respectively. We have considered Pasithea Therapeutics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.66
2.60
Expected Value
10.77
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pasithea Therapeutics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pasithea Therapeutics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.5572
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1312
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0332
SAESum of the absolute errors8.1374
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Pasithea Therapeutics Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Pasithea Therapeutics. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Pasithea Therapeutics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pasithea Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pasithea Therapeutics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.132.6010.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.2810.33
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1.822.002.22
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Pasithea Therapeutics

For every potential investor in Pasithea, whether a beginner or expert, Pasithea Therapeutics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pasithea Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pasithea. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pasithea Therapeutics' price trends.

View Pasithea Therapeutics Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Pasithea Therapeutics Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Pasithea Therapeutics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Pasithea Therapeutics' current price.

Pasithea Therapeutics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pasithea Therapeutics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pasithea Therapeutics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pasithea Therapeutics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pasithea Therapeutics Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pasithea Therapeutics Risk Indicators

The analysis of Pasithea Therapeutics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pasithea Therapeutics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pasithea stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Pasithea Therapeutics is a strong investment it is important to analyze Pasithea Therapeutics' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Pasithea Therapeutics' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Pasithea Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pasithea Therapeutics to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pasithea Therapeutics. If investors know Pasithea will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pasithea Therapeutics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(14.79)
Revenue Per Share
0.37
Quarterly Revenue Growth
14.981
Return On Assets
(0.38)
Return On Equity
(0.63)
The market value of Pasithea Therapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pasithea that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pasithea Therapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pasithea Therapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pasithea Therapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pasithea Therapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pasithea Therapeutics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pasithea Therapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pasithea Therapeutics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.