KinderCare Learning Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| KLC Stock | 22.48 1.31 5.51% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of KinderCare Learning Companies, on the next trading day is expected to be 22.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.11. KinderCare Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast KinderCare Learning stock prices and determine the direction of KinderCare Learning Companies,'s future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of KinderCare Learning's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
KinderCare |
KinderCare Learning Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of KinderCare Learning Companies, on the next trading day is expected to be 22.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89, mean absolute percentage error of 1.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.11.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict KinderCare Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that KinderCare Learning's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
KinderCare Learning Stock Forecast Pattern
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KinderCare Learning Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting KinderCare Learning's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. KinderCare Learning's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.17 and 26.45, respectively. We have considered KinderCare Learning's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of KinderCare Learning stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent KinderCare Learning stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.2025 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8949 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.036 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 33.1114 |
Predictive Modules for KinderCare Learning
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KinderCare Learning. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for KinderCare Learning
For every potential investor in KinderCare, whether a beginner or expert, KinderCare Learning's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. KinderCare Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in KinderCare. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying KinderCare Learning's price trends.KinderCare Learning Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with KinderCare Learning stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of KinderCare Learning could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing KinderCare Learning by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
KinderCare Learning Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of KinderCare Learning's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of KinderCare Learning's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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KinderCare Learning Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how KinderCare Learning stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading KinderCare Learning shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying KinderCare Learning stock market strength indicators, traders can identify KinderCare Learning Companies, entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
KinderCare Learning Risk Indicators
The analysis of KinderCare Learning's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in KinderCare Learning's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kindercare stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.9 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.2 | |||
| Variance | 17.62 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether KinderCare Learning offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of KinderCare Learning's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Kindercare Learning Companies, Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Kindercare Learning Companies, Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of KinderCare Learning to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Diversified Consumer Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of KinderCare Learning. If investors know KinderCare will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about KinderCare Learning listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.61) | Earnings Share 0.49 | Revenue Per Share 3.418 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.061 |
The market value of KinderCare Learning is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of KinderCare that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of KinderCare Learning's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is KinderCare Learning's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because KinderCare Learning's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect KinderCare Learning's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between KinderCare Learning's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if KinderCare Learning is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, KinderCare Learning's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.