Pelayaran Kurnia Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average
| KLAS Stock | 103.00 6.00 5.50% |
Pelayaran |
Pelayaran Kurnia 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Pelayaran Kurnia Lautan on the next trading day is expected to be 106.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 13.84, mean absolute percentage error of 343.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 747.19.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pelayaran Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pelayaran Kurnia's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pelayaran Kurnia Stock Forecast Pattern
Pelayaran Kurnia Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Pelayaran Kurnia's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pelayaran Kurnia's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 99.97 and 112.03, respectively. We have considered Pelayaran Kurnia's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pelayaran Kurnia stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pelayaran Kurnia stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.0831 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 1.9619 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 13.8369 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1052 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 747.195 |
Predictive Modules for Pelayaran Kurnia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pelayaran Kurnia Lautan. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Pelayaran Kurnia
For every potential investor in Pelayaran, whether a beginner or expert, Pelayaran Kurnia's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pelayaran Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pelayaran. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pelayaran Kurnia's price trends.Pelayaran Kurnia Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pelayaran Kurnia stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pelayaran Kurnia could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pelayaran Kurnia by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Pelayaran Kurnia Lautan Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Pelayaran Kurnia's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Pelayaran Kurnia's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Pelayaran Kurnia Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pelayaran Kurnia stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pelayaran Kurnia shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pelayaran Kurnia stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pelayaran Kurnia Lautan entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 550407.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.75) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.94 | |||
| Day Median Price | 106.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 105.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (6.00) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (6.00) |
Pelayaran Kurnia Risk Indicators
The analysis of Pelayaran Kurnia's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pelayaran Kurnia's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pelayaran stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.55 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.66 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.06 | |||
| Variance | 36.71 | |||
| Downside Variance | 44.34 | |||
| Semi Variance | 32.06 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.77) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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