Kirin Holdings Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

KIR Stock  EUR 13.30  0.10  0.75%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Kirin Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 12.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.94. Kirin Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Kirin Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Kirin Holdings price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Kirin Holdings Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Kirin Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 12.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.94.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kirin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kirin Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kirin Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

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Kirin Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Kirin Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kirin Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.50 and 14.38, respectively. We have considered Kirin Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
13.30
12.94
Expected Value
14.38
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kirin Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kirin Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.3075
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1957
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0147
SAESum of the absolute errors11.9384
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Kirin Holdings historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Kirin Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kirin Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.9613.4014.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.7511.1914.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
12.8313.0713.32
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Kirin Holdings

For every potential investor in Kirin, whether a beginner or expert, Kirin Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kirin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kirin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kirin Holdings' price trends.

Kirin Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kirin Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kirin Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kirin Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kirin Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kirin Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kirin Holdings' current price.

Kirin Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kirin Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kirin Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kirin Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kirin Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kirin Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kirin Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kirin Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kirin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Kirin Stock

Kirin Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kirin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kirin with respect to the benefits of owning Kirin Holdings security.