Kkr Income Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

KIO Fund  USD 12.44  0.02  0.16%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kkr Income Opportunities on the next trading day is expected to be 12.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.02. Kkr Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Kkr Income simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Kkr Income Opportunities are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Kkr Income Opportunities prices get older.

Kkr Income Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kkr Income Opportunities on the next trading day is expected to be 12.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.02.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kkr Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kkr Income's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kkr Income Fund Forecast Pattern

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Kkr Income Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Kkr Income's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kkr Income's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.77 and 13.11, respectively. We have considered Kkr Income's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.44
12.44
Expected Value
13.11
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kkr Income fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kkr Income fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.3527
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0087
MADMean absolute deviation0.067
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0052
SAESum of the absolute errors4.02
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Kkr Income Opportunities forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Kkr Income observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Kkr Income

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kkr Income Opportunities. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.7812.4513.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.8612.5313.20
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Kkr Income

For every potential investor in Kkr, whether a beginner or expert, Kkr Income's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kkr Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kkr. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kkr Income's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kkr Income Opportunities Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kkr Income's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kkr Income's current price.

Kkr Income Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kkr Income fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kkr Income shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kkr Income fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Kkr Income Opportunities entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kkr Income Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kkr Income's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kkr Income's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kkr fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Other Information on Investing in Kkr Fund

Kkr Income financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kkr Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kkr with respect to the benefits of owning Kkr Income security.
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