Kraft Heinz Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

KHNZ Stock  EUR 30.11  0.11  0.37%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Kraft Heinz Co on the next trading day is expected to be 30.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.39. Kraft Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Kraft Heinz's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Kraft Heinz Co is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Kraft Heinz 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Kraft Heinz Co on the next trading day is expected to be 30.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41, mean absolute percentage error of 0.28, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.39.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kraft Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kraft Heinz's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kraft Heinz Stock Forecast Pattern

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Kraft Heinz Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Kraft Heinz's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kraft Heinz's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 28.68 and 31.41, respectively. We have considered Kraft Heinz's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
30.11
30.05
Expected Value
31.41
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kraft Heinz stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kraft Heinz stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.471
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.06
MADMean absolute deviation0.4104
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0134
SAESum of the absolute errors23.39
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Kraft Heinz. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Kraft Heinz Co and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Kraft Heinz

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kraft Heinz. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.7530.1131.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.0330.3931.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
29.4329.9530.48
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kraft Heinz. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kraft Heinz's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kraft Heinz's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kraft Heinz.

Other Forecasting Options for Kraft Heinz

For every potential investor in Kraft, whether a beginner or expert, Kraft Heinz's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kraft Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kraft. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kraft Heinz's price trends.

Kraft Heinz Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kraft Heinz stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kraft Heinz could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kraft Heinz by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kraft Heinz Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kraft Heinz's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kraft Heinz's current price.

Kraft Heinz Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kraft Heinz stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kraft Heinz shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kraft Heinz stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kraft Heinz Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kraft Heinz Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kraft Heinz's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kraft Heinz's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kraft stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Kraft Stock

When determining whether Kraft Heinz offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Kraft Heinz's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Kraft Heinz Co Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Kraft Heinz Co Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kraft Heinz to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kraft Heinz's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kraft Heinz is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kraft Heinz's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.