Knights Group Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

KGH Stock   121.00  1.50  1.26%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Knights Group Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 117.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 171.00. Knights Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Knights Group stock prices and determine the direction of Knights Group Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Knights Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Knights Group's Other Liabilities is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Net Tangible Assets is expected to grow to about 4.2 M, whereas Short and Long Term Debt Total is forecasted to decline to about 54.8 M.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Knights Group Holdings is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Knights Group 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Knights Group Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 117.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.00, mean absolute percentage error of 15.63, and the sum of the absolute errors of 171.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Knights Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Knights Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Knights Group Stock Forecast Pattern

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Knights Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Knights Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Knights Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 114.57 and 120.68, respectively. We have considered Knights Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
121.00
114.57
Downside
117.62
Expected Value
120.68
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Knights Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Knights Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.5083
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.307
MADMean absolute deviation3.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.027
SAESum of the absolute errors171.0
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Knights Group. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Knights Group Holdings and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Knights Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Knights Group Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
116.44119.50122.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
95.2298.28131.45
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
4.004.805.16
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Knights Group

For every potential investor in Knights, whether a beginner or expert, Knights Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Knights Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Knights. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Knights Group's price trends.

Knights Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Knights Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Knights Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Knights Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Knights Group Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Knights Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Knights Group's current price.

Knights Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Knights Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Knights Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Knights Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Knights Group Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Knights Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of Knights Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Knights Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting knights stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Knights Stock

Knights Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Knights Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Knights with respect to the benefits of owning Knights Group security.