Keysight Technologies Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

KEYS Stock  USD 166.59  1.76  1.05%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Keysight Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 167.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.68 and the sum of the absolute errors of 232.87. Keysight Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Inventory Turnover is likely to gain to 2.78 in 2024. Payables Turnover is likely to gain to 7.99 in 2024. Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 195.6 M in 2024. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to drop to about 653.4 M in 2024.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Keysight Technologies is based on a synthetically constructed Keysight Technologiesdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Keysight Technologies 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 14th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Keysight Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 167.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.68, mean absolute percentage error of 47.64, and the sum of the absolute errors of 232.87.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Keysight Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Keysight Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Keysight Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern

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Keysight Technologies Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Keysight Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Keysight Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 165.25 and 169.00, respectively. We have considered Keysight Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
166.59
165.25
Downside
167.12
Expected Value
169.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Keysight Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Keysight Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria85.2165
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -3.1625
MADMean absolute deviation5.6798
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0345
SAESum of the absolute errors232.8725
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Keysight Technologies 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Keysight Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Keysight Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Keysight Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
164.20166.09167.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
148.18150.07182.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
152.97167.08181.19
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
151.00165.93184.18
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Keysight Technologies

For every potential investor in Keysight, whether a beginner or expert, Keysight Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Keysight Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Keysight. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Keysight Technologies' price trends.

Keysight Technologies Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Keysight Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Keysight Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Keysight Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Keysight Technologies Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Keysight Technologies' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Keysight Technologies' current price.

Keysight Technologies Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Keysight Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Keysight Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Keysight Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Keysight Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Keysight Technologies Risk Indicators

The analysis of Keysight Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Keysight Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting keysight stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Keysight Stock Analysis

When running Keysight Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Keysight Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Keysight Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Keysight Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Keysight Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Keysight Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Keysight Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.