KELLOGG Dusseldorf Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

KEL Stock  EUR 76.80  0.04  0.05%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of KELLOGG Dusseldorf on the next trading day is expected to be 76.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.92 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.63. KELLOGG Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for KELLOGG Dusseldorf is based on a synthetically constructed KELLOGG Dusseldorfdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

KELLOGG Dusseldorf 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 17th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of KELLOGG Dusseldorf on the next trading day is expected to be 76.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.92, mean absolute percentage error of 1.21, and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.63.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict KELLOGG Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that KELLOGG Dusseldorf's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

KELLOGG Dusseldorf Stock Forecast Pattern

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KELLOGG Dusseldorf Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting KELLOGG Dusseldorf's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. KELLOGG Dusseldorf's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 75.92 and 76.89, respectively. We have considered KELLOGG Dusseldorf's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
76.80
76.41
Expected Value
76.89
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of KELLOGG Dusseldorf stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent KELLOGG Dusseldorf stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria81.5448
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.8732
MADMean absolute deviation0.9177
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0121
SAESum of the absolute errors37.6275
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. KELLOGG Dusseldorf 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for KELLOGG Dusseldorf

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KELLOGG Dusseldorf. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
76.3176.8077.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
69.1283.8384.32
Details

Other Forecasting Options for KELLOGG Dusseldorf

For every potential investor in KELLOGG, whether a beginner or expert, KELLOGG Dusseldorf's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. KELLOGG Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in KELLOGG. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying KELLOGG Dusseldorf's price trends.

KELLOGG Dusseldorf Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with KELLOGG Dusseldorf stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of KELLOGG Dusseldorf could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing KELLOGG Dusseldorf by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

KELLOGG Dusseldorf Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of KELLOGG Dusseldorf's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of KELLOGG Dusseldorf's current price.

KELLOGG Dusseldorf Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how KELLOGG Dusseldorf stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading KELLOGG Dusseldorf shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying KELLOGG Dusseldorf stock market strength indicators, traders can identify KELLOGG Dusseldorf entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

KELLOGG Dusseldorf Risk Indicators

The analysis of KELLOGG Dusseldorf's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in KELLOGG Dusseldorf's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kellogg stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for KELLOGG Stock Analysis

When running KELLOGG Dusseldorf's price analysis, check to measure KELLOGG Dusseldorf's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy KELLOGG Dusseldorf is operating at the current time. Most of KELLOGG Dusseldorf's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of KELLOGG Dusseldorf's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move KELLOGG Dusseldorf's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of KELLOGG Dusseldorf to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.