Kodiak Copper OTC Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

KDKCF Stock  USD 0.30  0.01  3.45%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kodiak Copper Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.53. Kodiak OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Kodiak Copper's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Kodiak Copper works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Kodiak Copper Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kodiak Copper Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.53.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kodiak OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kodiak Copper's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kodiak Copper OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Kodiak Copper Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Kodiak Copper's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kodiak Copper's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 3.81, respectively. We have considered Kodiak Copper's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.30
0.30
Expected Value
3.81
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kodiak Copper otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kodiak Copper otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0014
MADMean absolute deviation0.009
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0275
SAESum of the absolute errors0.5302
When Kodiak Copper Corp prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Kodiak Copper Corp trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Kodiak Copper observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Kodiak Copper

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kodiak Copper Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kodiak Copper's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.303.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.263.77
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Kodiak Copper

For every potential investor in Kodiak, whether a beginner or expert, Kodiak Copper's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kodiak OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kodiak. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kodiak Copper's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kodiak Copper Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kodiak Copper's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kodiak Copper's current price.

Kodiak Copper Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kodiak Copper otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kodiak Copper shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kodiak Copper otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kodiak Copper Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kodiak Copper Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kodiak Copper's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kodiak Copper's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kodiak otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Kodiak OTC Stock

Kodiak Copper financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kodiak OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kodiak with respect to the benefits of owning Kodiak Copper security.