Khang Dien Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

KDH Stock   35,950  50.00  0.14%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Khang Dien House on the next trading day is expected to be 36,106 with a mean absolute deviation of 360.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21,637. Khang Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Khang Dien - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Khang Dien prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Khang Dien price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Khang Dien House.

Khang Dien Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Khang Dien House on the next trading day is expected to be 36,106 with a mean absolute deviation of 360.62, mean absolute percentage error of 335,303, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21,637.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Khang Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Khang Dien's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Khang Dien Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Khang DienKhang Dien Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Khang Dien Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Khang Dien's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Khang Dien's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 36,105 and 36,108, respectively. We have considered Khang Dien's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
35,950
36,105
Downside
36,106
Expected Value
36,108
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Khang Dien stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Khang Dien stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -113.9752
MADMean absolute deviation360.6222
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0106
SAESum of the absolute errors21637.3292
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Khang Dien observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Khang Dien House observations.

Predictive Modules for Khang Dien

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Khang Dien House. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35,84835,85035,852
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35,74835,75039,435
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Khang Dien

For every potential investor in Khang, whether a beginner or expert, Khang Dien's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Khang Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Khang. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Khang Dien's price trends.

Khang Dien Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Khang Dien stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Khang Dien could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Khang Dien by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Khang Dien House Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Khang Dien's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Khang Dien's current price.

Khang Dien Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Khang Dien stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Khang Dien shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Khang Dien stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Khang Dien House entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Khang Dien Risk Indicators

The analysis of Khang Dien's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Khang Dien's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting khang stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Khang Dien

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Khang Dien position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Khang Dien will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Khang Stock

  0.62ADS Damsan JSCPairCorr
  0.74AAA An Phat PlasticPairCorr

Moving against Khang Stock

  0.55BCF Bich Chi FoodPairCorr
  0.39SMA Saigon Machinery SparePairCorr
  0.36ICT Telecoms Informatics JSCPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Khang Dien could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Khang Dien when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Khang Dien - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Khang Dien House to buy it.
The correlation of Khang Dien is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Khang Dien moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Khang Dien House moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Khang Dien can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Khang Stock

Khang Dien financial ratios help investors to determine whether Khang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Khang with respect to the benefits of owning Khang Dien security.