Jack Henry Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

JKHY Stock  USD 166.47  4.00  2.35%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Jack Henry Associates on the next trading day is expected to be 169.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.84 and the sum of the absolute errors of 97.36. Jack Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Jack Henry's Inventory Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Asset Turnover is likely to rise to 0.88 in 2025, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 31.59 in 2025. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to rise to about 85.3 M in 2025. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to rise to about 442.7 M in 2025.

Open Interest Against 2025-03-21 Jack Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Jack Henry's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Jack Henry's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Jack Henry stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Jack Henry's open interest, investors have to compare it to Jack Henry's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Jack Henry is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Jack. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Jack Henry is based on an artificially constructed time series of Jack Henry daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Jack Henry 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 18th of February 2025

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Jack Henry Associates on the next trading day is expected to be 169.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.84, mean absolute percentage error of 6.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 97.36.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jack Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jack Henry's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Jack Henry Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Jack HenryJack Henry Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Jack Henry Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Jack Henry's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jack Henry's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 168.93 and 170.69, respectively. We have considered Jack Henry's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
166.47
168.93
Downside
169.81
Expected Value
170.69
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jack Henry stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jack Henry stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.201
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.3928
MADMean absolute deviation1.837
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0106
SAESum of the absolute errors97.3625
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Jack Henry Associates 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Jack Henry

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jack Henry Associates. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
165.58166.47167.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
149.82181.25182.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
167.67172.91178.15
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
175.18192.50213.68
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jack Henry. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jack Henry's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jack Henry's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jack Henry Associates.

Other Forecasting Options for Jack Henry

For every potential investor in Jack, whether a beginner or expert, Jack Henry's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jack Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jack. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jack Henry's price trends.

Jack Henry Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jack Henry stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jack Henry could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jack Henry by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jack Henry Associates Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Jack Henry's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Jack Henry's current price.

Jack Henry Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jack Henry stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jack Henry shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jack Henry stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jack Henry Associates entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Jack Henry Risk Indicators

The analysis of Jack Henry's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jack Henry's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jack stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Jack Stock Analysis

When running Jack Henry's price analysis, check to measure Jack Henry's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jack Henry is operating at the current time. Most of Jack Henry's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jack Henry's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jack Henry's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jack Henry to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.