Jhancock Blue Mutual Fund Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

JHBCX Fund   61.72  0.86  1.41%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Jhancock Blue Chip on the next trading day is expected to be 64.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 82.89. Jhancock Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Jhancock Blue Chip is based on a synthetically constructed Jhancock Bluedaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Jhancock Blue 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 7th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Jhancock Blue Chip on the next trading day is expected to be 64.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.02, mean absolute percentage error of 5.46, and the sum of the absolute errors of 82.89.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jhancock Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jhancock Blue's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Jhancock Blue Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Jhancock Blue Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Jhancock Blue's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jhancock Blue's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 63.20 and 65.67, respectively. We have considered Jhancock Blue's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
61.72
64.43
Expected Value
65.67
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jhancock Blue mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jhancock Blue mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria83.0501
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1598
MADMean absolute deviation2.0217
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0315
SAESum of the absolute errors82.8885
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Jhancock Blue Chip 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Jhancock Blue

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jhancock Blue Chip. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jhancock Blue's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
60.4961.7262.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
61.1662.3963.62
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Jhancock Blue

For every potential investor in Jhancock, whether a beginner or expert, Jhancock Blue's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jhancock Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jhancock. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jhancock Blue's price trends.

Jhancock Blue Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jhancock Blue mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jhancock Blue could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jhancock Blue by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jhancock Blue Chip Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Jhancock Blue's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Jhancock Blue's current price.

Jhancock Blue Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jhancock Blue mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jhancock Blue shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jhancock Blue mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Jhancock Blue Chip entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Jhancock Blue Risk Indicators

The analysis of Jhancock Blue's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jhancock Blue's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jhancock mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Jhancock Mutual Fund

Jhancock Blue financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jhancock Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jhancock with respect to the benefits of owning Jhancock Blue security.
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