Jacob Forward Etf Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

JFWD Etf  USD 12.52  0.24  1.88%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Jacob Forward ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 12.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.45. Jacob Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Jacob Forward stock prices and determine the direction of Jacob Forward ETF's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Jacob Forward's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Jacob Forward ETF is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Jacob Forward 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 16th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Jacob Forward ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 12.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29, mean absolute percentage error of 0.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.45.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jacob Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jacob Forward's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Jacob Forward Etf Forecast Pattern

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Jacob Forward Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Jacob Forward's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jacob Forward's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.83 and 14.60, respectively. We have considered Jacob Forward's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.52
12.72
Expected Value
14.60
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jacob Forward etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jacob Forward etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.7738
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0881
MADMean absolute deviation0.2886
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0244
SAESum of the absolute errors16.4525
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Jacob Forward. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Jacob Forward ETF and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Jacob Forward

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jacob Forward ETF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jacob Forward's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.6612.5414.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.8112.6914.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
12.3613.0413.71
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Jacob Forward

For every potential investor in Jacob, whether a beginner or expert, Jacob Forward's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jacob Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jacob. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jacob Forward's price trends.

Jacob Forward Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jacob Forward etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jacob Forward could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jacob Forward by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jacob Forward ETF Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Jacob Forward's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Jacob Forward's current price.

Jacob Forward Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jacob Forward etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jacob Forward shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jacob Forward etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Jacob Forward ETF entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Jacob Forward Risk Indicators

The analysis of Jacob Forward's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jacob Forward's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jacob etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Jacob Forward ETF is a strong investment it is important to analyze Jacob Forward's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Jacob Forward's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Jacob Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jacob Forward to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
The market value of Jacob Forward ETF is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Jacob that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Jacob Forward's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Jacob Forward's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Jacob Forward's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Jacob Forward's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Jacob Forward's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jacob Forward is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jacob Forward's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.