John Bean Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

JBTDelisted Stock  USD 125.32  1.78  1.40%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of John Bean Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 125.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 128.18. John Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for John Bean is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

John Bean Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 6th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of John Bean Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 125.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.17, mean absolute percentage error of 11.97, and the sum of the absolute errors of 128.18.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict John Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that John Bean's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

John Bean Stock Forecast Pattern

JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Oct 16Oct 24Nov 1Nov 11Nov 19Nov 27Dec 6Dec 16Dec 24Jan 595100105110115120125130
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15John Bean Technologies John Bean Technologies forecast
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John Bean Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting John Bean's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. John Bean's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 122.34 and 128.30, respectively. We have considered John Bean's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
125.32
122.34
Downside
125.32
Expected Value
128.30
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of John Bean stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent John Bean stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.9176
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.7174
MADMean absolute deviation2.1725
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0186
SAESum of the absolute errors128.175
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of John Bean Technologies price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of John Bean. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for John Bean

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as John Bean Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
122.34125.32128.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
98.38101.36137.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
120.04125.22130.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as John Bean. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against John Bean's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, John Bean's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in John Bean Technologies.

Other Forecasting Options for John Bean

For every potential investor in John, whether a beginner or expert, John Bean's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. John Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in John. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying John Bean's price trends.

John Bean Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with John Bean stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of John Bean could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing John Bean by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

John Bean Technologies Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of John Bean's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of John Bean's current price.

John Bean Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how John Bean stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading John Bean shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying John Bean stock market strength indicators, traders can identify John Bean Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

John Bean Risk Indicators

The analysis of John Bean's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in John Bean's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting john stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of John Bean to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

Other Consideration for investing in John Stock

If you are still planning to invest in John Bean Technologies check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the John Bean's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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