Jbfo Fof Fund Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

JBFO11 Fund   82.01  11.73  16.69%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Jbfo Fof Fundo on the next trading day is expected to be 82.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.73. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Jbfo Fof's fund prices and determine the direction of Jbfo Fof Fundo's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Jbfo Fof works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Jbfo Fof Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 21st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Jbfo Fof Fundo on the next trading day is expected to be 82.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 2.33, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.73.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jbfo Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jbfo Fof's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Jbfo Fof Fund Forecast Pattern

Jbfo Fof Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Jbfo Fof's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jbfo Fof's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 79.89 and 84.13, respectively. We have considered Jbfo Fof's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
82.01
82.01
Expected Value
84.13
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jbfo Fof fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jbfo Fof fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1988
MADMean absolute deviation0.1988
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0024
SAESum of the absolute errors11.73
When Jbfo Fof Fundo prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Jbfo Fof Fundo trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Jbfo Fof observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Jbfo Fof

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jbfo Fof Fundo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for Jbfo Fof

For every potential investor in Jbfo, whether a beginner or expert, Jbfo Fof's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jbfo Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jbfo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jbfo Fof's price trends.

Jbfo Fof Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jbfo Fof fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jbfo Fof could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jbfo Fof by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jbfo Fof Fundo Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Jbfo Fof's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Jbfo Fof's current price.

Jbfo Fof Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jbfo Fof fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jbfo Fof shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jbfo Fof fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Jbfo Fof Fundo entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Jbfo Fof Risk Indicators

The analysis of Jbfo Fof's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jbfo Fof's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jbfo fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Cryptocurrency Center
Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency
Competition Analyzer
Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities
Balance Of Power
Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance