Iveda Solutions Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

IVDAW Stock  USD 0.04  0.02  32.67%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Iveda Solutions Warrant on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.15. Iveda Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Iveda Solutions' Inventory Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Receivables Turnover is likely to climb to 24.27 in 2024, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 19.34 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to climb to about 16.8 M in 2024.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Iveda Solutions works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Iveda Solutions Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Iveda Solutions Warrant on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0008, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.15.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Iveda Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Iveda Solutions' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Iveda Solutions Stock Forecast Pattern

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Iveda Solutions Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Iveda Solutions' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Iveda Solutions' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0004 and 47.37, respectively. We have considered Iveda Solutions' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.04
0.0004
Downside
0.04
Expected Value
47.37
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Iveda Solutions stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Iveda Solutions stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0039
MADMean absolute deviation0.0196
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors1.1538
When Iveda Solutions Warrant prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Iveda Solutions Warrant trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Iveda Solutions observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Iveda Solutions

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Iveda Solutions Warrant. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0646.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0646.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Iveda Solutions. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Iveda Solutions' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Iveda Solutions' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Iveda Solutions Warrant.

Other Forecasting Options for Iveda Solutions

For every potential investor in Iveda, whether a beginner or expert, Iveda Solutions' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Iveda Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Iveda. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Iveda Solutions' price trends.

Iveda Solutions Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Iveda Solutions stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Iveda Solutions could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Iveda Solutions by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Iveda Solutions Warrant Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Iveda Solutions' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Iveda Solutions' current price.

Iveda Solutions Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Iveda Solutions stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Iveda Solutions shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Iveda Solutions stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Iveda Solutions Warrant entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Iveda Solutions Risk Indicators

The analysis of Iveda Solutions' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Iveda Solutions' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting iveda stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Iveda Stock Analysis

When running Iveda Solutions' price analysis, check to measure Iveda Solutions' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Iveda Solutions is operating at the current time. Most of Iveda Solutions' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Iveda Solutions' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Iveda Solutions' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Iveda Solutions to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.