Innovex International, Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

INVX Stock   13.97  0.16  1.16%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Innovex International, on the next trading day is expected to be 14.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.22. Innovex Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Innovex International,'s Fixed Asset Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 0.67 this year, although Inventory Turnover will most likely decline. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 30.4 M this year.
Triple exponential smoothing for Innovex International, - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Innovex International, prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Innovex International, price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Innovex International,.

Innovex International, Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Innovex International, on the next trading day is expected to be 14.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30, mean absolute percentage error of 0.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.22.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Innovex Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Innovex International,'s next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Innovex International, Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Innovex International,Innovex International, Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Innovex International, Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Innovex International,'s Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Innovex International,'s downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.33 and 16.75, respectively. We have considered Innovex International,'s daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
13.97
14.04
Expected Value
16.75
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Innovex International, stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Innovex International, stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0927
MADMean absolute deviation0.3037
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0204
SAESum of the absolute errors18.22
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Innovex International, observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Innovex International, observations.

Predictive Modules for Innovex International,

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Innovex International,. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Innovex International,'s price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.2813.9916.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.5717.3020.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11.6714.2916.92
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
25.7828.3331.45
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Innovex International,

For every potential investor in Innovex, whether a beginner or expert, Innovex International,'s price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Innovex Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Innovex. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Innovex International,'s price trends.

Innovex International, Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Innovex International, stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Innovex International, could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Innovex International, by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Innovex International, Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Innovex International,'s price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Innovex International,'s current price.

Innovex International, Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Innovex International, stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Innovex International, shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Innovex International, stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Innovex International, entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Accumulation Distribution19093.41
Daily Balance Of Power0.2909
Rate Of Daily Change1.01
Day Median Price14.05
Day Typical Price14.02