POSCO Thainox Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

INOX Stock  THB 0.48  0.01  2.04%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of POSCO Thainox Public on the next trading day is expected to be 0.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.55. POSCO Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for POSCO Thainox is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

POSCO Thainox Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 16th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of POSCO Thainox Public on the next trading day is expected to be 0.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.55.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict POSCO Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that POSCO Thainox's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

POSCO Thainox Stock Forecast Pattern

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POSCO Thainox Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting POSCO Thainox's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. POSCO Thainox's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 2.87, respectively. We have considered POSCO Thainox's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.48
0.48
Expected Value
2.87
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of POSCO Thainox stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent POSCO Thainox stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.7495
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0018
MADMean absolute deviation0.0092
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0168
SAESum of the absolute errors0.545
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of POSCO Thainox Public price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of POSCO Thainox. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for POSCO Thainox

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as POSCO Thainox Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.482.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.432.82
Details

Other Forecasting Options for POSCO Thainox

For every potential investor in POSCO, whether a beginner or expert, POSCO Thainox's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. POSCO Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in POSCO. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying POSCO Thainox's price trends.

POSCO Thainox Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with POSCO Thainox stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of POSCO Thainox could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing POSCO Thainox by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

POSCO Thainox Public Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of POSCO Thainox's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of POSCO Thainox's current price.

POSCO Thainox Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how POSCO Thainox stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading POSCO Thainox shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying POSCO Thainox stock market strength indicators, traders can identify POSCO Thainox Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

POSCO Thainox Risk Indicators

The analysis of POSCO Thainox's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in POSCO Thainox's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting posco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in POSCO Stock

POSCO Thainox financial ratios help investors to determine whether POSCO Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in POSCO with respect to the benefits of owning POSCO Thainox security.