Impax Environmental Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

IEM Stock   362.00  2.50  0.70%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Impax Environmental Markets on the next trading day is expected to be 361.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.96 and the sum of the absolute errors of 229.39. Impax Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Impax Environmental stock prices and determine the direction of Impax Environmental Markets's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Impax Environmental's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Impax Environmental's Other Current Liabilities is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Current Liabilities is expected to grow to about 9.2 M, whereas Cash is forecasted to decline to about 11.7 M.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Impax Environmental Markets is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Impax Environmental 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Impax Environmental Markets on the next trading day is expected to be 361.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.96, mean absolute percentage error of 27.87, and the sum of the absolute errors of 229.39.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Impax Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Impax Environmental's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Impax Environmental Stock Forecast Pattern

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Impax Environmental Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Impax Environmental's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Impax Environmental's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 360.88 and 362.87, respectively. We have considered Impax Environmental's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
362.00
360.88
Downside
361.88
Expected Value
362.87
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Impax Environmental stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Impax Environmental stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.9245
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.9113
MADMean absolute deviation3.955
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0103
SAESum of the absolute errors229.39
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Impax Environmental. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Impax Environmental Markets and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Impax Environmental

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Impax Environmental. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
360.90361.88362.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
325.80372.02373.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Impax Environmental

For every potential investor in Impax, whether a beginner or expert, Impax Environmental's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Impax Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Impax. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Impax Environmental's price trends.

Impax Environmental Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Impax Environmental stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Impax Environmental could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Impax Environmental by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Impax Environmental Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Impax Environmental's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Impax Environmental's current price.

Impax Environmental Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Impax Environmental stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Impax Environmental shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Impax Environmental stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Impax Environmental Markets entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Impax Environmental Risk Indicators

The analysis of Impax Environmental's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Impax Environmental's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting impax stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Impax Stock

Impax Environmental financial ratios help investors to determine whether Impax Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Impax with respect to the benefits of owning Impax Environmental security.