Impax Environmental (UK) Price Prediction

IEM Stock   376.50  3.00  0.80%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Impax Environmental's share price is approaching 39. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Impax Environmental, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

39

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Impax Environmental's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Impax Environmental and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Impax Environmental's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Impax Environmental Markets, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Impax Environmental's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.83)
Wall Street Target Price
125
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.74)
Using Impax Environmental hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Impax Environmental Markets from the perspective of Impax Environmental response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Impax Environmental to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Impax because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Impax Environmental after-hype prediction price

    
  GBX 376.46  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Impax Environmental Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
341.82342.62414.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
369.79370.59371.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
372.32378.35384.38
Details

Impax Environmental After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Impax Environmental at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Impax Environmental or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Impax Environmental, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Impax Environmental Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Impax Environmental's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Impax Environmental's historical news coverage. Impax Environmental's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 375.66 and 377.26, respectively. We have considered Impax Environmental's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
376.50
375.66
Downside
376.46
After-hype Price
377.26
Upside
Impax Environmental is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Impax Environmental is based on 3 months time horizon.

Impax Environmental Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Impax Environmental is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Impax Environmental backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Impax Environmental, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04 
0.80
  0.04 
  34.29 
2 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
376.50
376.46
0.01 
80.00  
Notes

Impax Environmental Hype Timeline

Impax Environmental is currently traded for 376.50on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -34.29. Impax is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 376.46. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 80.0%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Impax Environmental is about 0.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 342.21. About 42.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.83. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Impax Environmental recorded a loss per share of 0.04. The entity last dividend was issued on the 15th of August 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Impax Environmental Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Impax Environmental Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Impax Environmental's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Impax Environmental's future price movements. Getting to know how Impax Environmental's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Impax Environmental may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TYTToyota Motor Corp(19.00)3 per month 0.00 (0.1) 3.04 (3.54) 12.68 
0R15SoftBank Group Corp(56.86)3 per month 0.00 (0.09) 5.19 (6.63) 15.31 
0M69OTP Bank Nyrt(8,500)1 per month 0.00  0.07  44.28 (30.69) 107.82 
0QY4Las Vegas Sands 1.74 3 per month 0.96  0.18  3.23 (2.00) 11.11 
0QYDYum Brands(0.51)1 per month 0.93 (0.07) 2.44 (1.51) 6.11 
0I9FDigital Realty Trust 2.44 4 per month 0.67  0.18  2.26 (1.76) 13.13 
0HKEAxon Enterprise 13.91 1 per month 0.87  0.21  3.88 (2.38) 31.69 
0IJNExelon Corp(0.91)3 per month 0.89 (0.05) 1.63 (1.68) 5.87 
0J6ZHumana Inc(15.06)2 per month 0.00 (0.1) 3.63 (4.58) 21.62 
0QZ5Cognizant Technology Solutions 0.87 2 per month 1.17 (0.04) 1.94 (1.86) 9.58 

Impax Environmental Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Impax price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Impax using various technical indicators. When you analyze Impax charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Impax Environmental Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Impax Environmental stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Impax Environmental Markets, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Impax Environmental based on analysis of Impax Environmental hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Impax Environmental's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Impax Environmental's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Impax Environmental

The number of cover stories for Impax Environmental depends on current market conditions and Impax Environmental's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Impax Environmental is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Impax Environmental's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Impax Environmental Short Properties

Impax Environmental's future price predictability will typically decrease when Impax Environmental's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Impax Environmental Markets often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Impax Environmental's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Impax Environmental's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding296.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments16.8 M

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When running Impax Environmental's price analysis, check to measure Impax Environmental's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Impax Environmental is operating at the current time. Most of Impax Environmental's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Impax Environmental's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Impax Environmental's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Impax Environmental to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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