Ivy International Mutual Fund Forecast - Polynomial Regression

ICEIX Fund  USD 21.31  0.24  1.11%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Ivy International E on the next trading day is expected to be 21.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.47. Ivy Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Ivy International polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Ivy International E as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Ivy International Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 15th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Ivy International E on the next trading day is expected to be 21.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.47.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ivy Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ivy International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ivy International Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Ivy InternationalIvy International Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Ivy International Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ivy International's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ivy International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.01 and 22.62, respectively. We have considered Ivy International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
21.31
21.82
Expected Value
22.62
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ivy International mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ivy International mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.6943
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1527
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0071
SAESum of the absolute errors9.465
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Ivy International historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Ivy International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ivy International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.5121.3122.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.6021.4022.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
20.7621.3221.89
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Ivy International

For every potential investor in Ivy, whether a beginner or expert, Ivy International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ivy Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ivy. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ivy International's price trends.

Ivy International Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ivy International mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ivy International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ivy International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ivy International Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ivy International's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ivy International's current price.

Ivy International Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ivy International mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ivy International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ivy International mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Ivy International E entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ivy International Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ivy International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ivy International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ivy mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Ivy Mutual Fund

Ivy International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ivy Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ivy with respect to the benefits of owning Ivy International security.
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Portfolio Analyzer
Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine
Investing Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Aroon Oscillator
Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios