Hyster-Yale Materials Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

HYEA Stock  EUR 52.16  0.99  1.86%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Hyster Yale Materials Handling on the next trading day is expected to be 50.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.91 and the sum of the absolute errors of 164.27. Hyster-Yale Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hyster-Yale Materials' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Hyster Yale Materials Handling is based on a synthetically constructed Hyster-Yale Materialsdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Hyster-Yale Materials 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Hyster Yale Materials Handling on the next trading day is expected to be 50.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.91, mean absolute percentage error of 23.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 164.27.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hyster-Yale Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hyster-Yale Materials' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hyster-Yale Materials Stock Forecast Pattern

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Hyster-Yale Materials Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hyster-Yale Materials' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hyster-Yale Materials' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 47.70 and 53.73, respectively. We have considered Hyster-Yale Materials' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
52.16
50.71
Expected Value
53.73
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hyster-Yale Materials stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hyster-Yale Materials stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria86.3267
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.6799
MADMean absolute deviation3.9111
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0735
SAESum of the absolute errors164.266
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Hyster Yale Materials 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Hyster-Yale Materials

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hyster Yale Materials. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
50.4953.5056.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.3945.4058.85
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hyster-Yale Materials. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hyster-Yale Materials' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hyster-Yale Materials' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hyster Yale Materials.

Other Forecasting Options for Hyster-Yale Materials

For every potential investor in Hyster-Yale, whether a beginner or expert, Hyster-Yale Materials' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hyster-Yale Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hyster-Yale. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hyster-Yale Materials' price trends.

Hyster-Yale Materials Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hyster-Yale Materials stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hyster-Yale Materials could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hyster-Yale Materials by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hyster Yale Materials Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hyster-Yale Materials' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hyster-Yale Materials' current price.

Hyster-Yale Materials Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hyster-Yale Materials stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hyster-Yale Materials shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hyster-Yale Materials stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hyster Yale Materials Handling entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hyster-Yale Materials Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hyster-Yale Materials' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hyster-Yale Materials' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hyster-yale stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Hyster-Yale Stock

When determining whether Hyster Yale Materials offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Hyster-Yale Materials' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Hyster Yale Materials Handling Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Hyster Yale Materials Handling Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Hyster-Yale Materials to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hyster-Yale Materials' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hyster-Yale Materials is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hyster-Yale Materials' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.