Huntington Bancshares Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

HU3 Stock  EUR 15.85  0.65  4.28%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Huntington Bancshares Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 15.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.89. Huntington Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Huntington Bancshares' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Huntington Bancshares is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Huntington Bancshares Incorporated value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Huntington Bancshares Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 21st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Huntington Bancshares Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 15.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.89.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Huntington Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Huntington Bancshares' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Huntington Bancshares Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Huntington BancsharesHuntington Bancshares Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Huntington Bancshares Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Huntington Bancshares' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Huntington Bancshares' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.61 and 17.70, respectively. We have considered Huntington Bancshares' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.85
15.66
Expected Value
17.70
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Huntington Bancshares stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Huntington Bancshares stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.0622
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2768
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0189
SAESum of the absolute errors16.8875
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Huntington Bancshares Incorporated. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Huntington Bancshares. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Huntington Bancshares

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Huntington Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.9015.8517.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.2718.1120.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
15.7416.3917.05
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Huntington Bancshares

For every potential investor in Huntington, whether a beginner or expert, Huntington Bancshares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Huntington Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Huntington. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Huntington Bancshares' price trends.

Huntington Bancshares Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Huntington Bancshares stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Huntington Bancshares could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Huntington Bancshares by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Huntington Bancshares Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Huntington Bancshares' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Huntington Bancshares' current price.

Huntington Bancshares Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Huntington Bancshares stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Huntington Bancshares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Huntington Bancshares stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Huntington Bancshares Incorporated entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Huntington Bancshares Risk Indicators

The analysis of Huntington Bancshares' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Huntington Bancshares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting huntington stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Huntington Stock

When determining whether Huntington Bancshares is a strong investment it is important to analyze Huntington Bancshares' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Huntington Bancshares' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Huntington Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Huntington Bancshares to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Huntington Bancshares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Huntington Bancshares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Huntington Bancshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.