HomeTrust Bancshares Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| HTBIDelisted Stock | USD 36.55 1.06 2.82% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of HomeTrust Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 35.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.10. HomeTrust Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of HomeTrust Bancshares' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
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HomeTrust Bancshares Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of HomeTrust Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 35.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62, mean absolute percentage error of 0.58, and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.10.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict HomeTrust Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that HomeTrust Bancshares' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
HomeTrust Bancshares Stock Forecast Pattern
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HomeTrust Bancshares Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting HomeTrust Bancshares' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. HomeTrust Bancshares' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 33.79 and 37.10, respectively. We have considered HomeTrust Bancshares' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of HomeTrust Bancshares stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent HomeTrust Bancshares stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.5682 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6246 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0175 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 38.0983 |
Predictive Modules for HomeTrust Bancshares
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HomeTrust Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for HomeTrust Bancshares
For every potential investor in HomeTrust, whether a beginner or expert, HomeTrust Bancshares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. HomeTrust Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in HomeTrust. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying HomeTrust Bancshares' price trends.HomeTrust Bancshares Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with HomeTrust Bancshares stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of HomeTrust Bancshares could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing HomeTrust Bancshares by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
HomeTrust Bancshares Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of HomeTrust Bancshares' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of HomeTrust Bancshares' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
HomeTrust Bancshares Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how HomeTrust Bancshares stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading HomeTrust Bancshares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying HomeTrust Bancshares stock market strength indicators, traders can identify HomeTrust Bancshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
HomeTrust Bancshares Risk Indicators
The analysis of HomeTrust Bancshares' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in HomeTrust Bancshares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hometrust stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Variance | 2.49 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of HomeTrust Bancshares to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Other Consideration for investing in HomeTrust Stock
If you are still planning to invest in HomeTrust Bancshares check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the HomeTrust Bancshares' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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