Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha Pink Sheet Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

HPGLY Stock  USD 73.78  7.32  9.03%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Hapag Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft on the next trading day is expected to be 77.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.74 and the sum of the absolute errors of 153.46. Hapag-Lloyd Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Hapag Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft is based on a synthetically constructed Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschadaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Hapag Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft on the next trading day is expected to be 77.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.74, mean absolute percentage error of 18.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 153.46.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hapag-Lloyd Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 74.69 and 80.45, respectively. We have considered Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
73.78
77.57
Expected Value
80.45
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria84.2467
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.2592
MADMean absolute deviation3.743
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0498
SAESum of the absolute errors153.4625
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
70.9073.7876.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
56.8859.7681.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
73.1577.5781.99
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha

For every potential investor in Hapag-Lloyd, whether a beginner or expert, Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hapag-Lloyd Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hapag-Lloyd. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha's price trends.

Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha's current price.

Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Hapag Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hapag-lloyd pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Hapag-Lloyd Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha's price analysis, check to measure Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha is operating at the current time. Most of Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellscha to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.