Honest Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| HNST Stock | USD 8.18 0.14 1.68% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Honest Company on the next trading day is expected to be 9.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.62. Honest Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
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Honest Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Honest Company on the next trading day is expected to be 9.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.62.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Honest Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Honest's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Honest Stock Forecast Pattern
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Honest Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Honest's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Honest's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.98 and 14.30, respectively. We have considered Honest's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Honest stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Honest stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.8656 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2519 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0512 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 15.6187 |
Predictive Modules for Honest
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Honest Company. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Honest's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Honest
For every potential investor in Honest, whether a beginner or expert, Honest's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Honest Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Honest. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Honest's price trends.View Honest Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Honest Company Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Honest's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Honest's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Honest Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Honest stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Honest shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Honest stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Honest Company entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 163704.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.30) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 8.26 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 8.23 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.15) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.14) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 85.86 |
Honest Risk Indicators
The analysis of Honest's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Honest's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting honest stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.3 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.26 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.67 | |||
| Variance | 21.81 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.13 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.11 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.63) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for Honest Stock Analysis
When running Honest's price analysis, check to measure Honest's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Honest is operating at the current time. Most of Honest's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Honest's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Honest's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Honest to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.