Hammer Metals Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| HMX Stock | 0.03 0 8.33% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hammer Metals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.08. Hammer Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Hammer |
Hammer Metals Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Hammer Metals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000321, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.08.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hammer Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hammer Metals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hammer Metals Stock Forecast Pattern
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Hammer Metals Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Hammer Metals' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Hammer Metals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0003 and 4.85, respectively. We have considered Hammer Metals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hammer Metals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hammer Metals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 1.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0014 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.037 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0813 |
Predictive Modules for Hammer Metals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hammer Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Hammer Metals
For every potential investor in Hammer, whether a beginner or expert, Hammer Metals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hammer Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hammer. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hammer Metals' price trends.Hammer Metals Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hammer Metals stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hammer Metals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hammer Metals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Hammer Metals Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hammer Metals' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hammer Metals' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Hammer Metals Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hammer Metals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hammer Metals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hammer Metals stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hammer Metals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Hammer Metals Risk Indicators
The analysis of Hammer Metals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hammer Metals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hammer stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.44 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.74 | |||
| Variance | 22.46 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for Hammer Stock Analysis
When running Hammer Metals' price analysis, check to measure Hammer Metals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hammer Metals is operating at the current time. Most of Hammer Metals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hammer Metals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hammer Metals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hammer Metals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.