DWS Top Fund Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| HJUA Fund | EUR 138.21 0.67 0.48% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of DWS Top Dividende on the next trading day is expected to be 135.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 86.97. DWS Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
DWS |
DWS Top Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 6th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of DWS Top Dividende on the next trading day is expected to be 135.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.43, mean absolute percentage error of 2.74, and the sum of the absolute errors of 86.97.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict DWS Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that DWS Top's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
DWS Top Fund Forecast Pattern
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DWS Top Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting DWS Top's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. DWS Top's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 134.61 and 135.98, respectively. We have considered DWS Top's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of DWS Top fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent DWS Top fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.1178 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.4258 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.01 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 86.9715 |
Predictive Modules for DWS Top
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DWS Top Dividende. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for DWS Top
For every potential investor in DWS, whether a beginner or expert, DWS Top's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. DWS Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in DWS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying DWS Top's price trends.DWS Top Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with DWS Top fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of DWS Top could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing DWS Top by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
DWS Top Dividende Technical and Predictive Analytics
The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of DWS Top's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of DWS Top's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
DWS Top Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how DWS Top fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading DWS Top shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying DWS Top fund market strength indicators, traders can identify DWS Top Dividende entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
DWS Top Risk Indicators
The analysis of DWS Top's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in DWS Top's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dws fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.512 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.6741 | |||
| Variance | 0.4544 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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DWS Top financial ratios help investors to determine whether DWS Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DWS with respect to the benefits of owning DWS Top security.
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