DWS Top Fund Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

HJUA Fund  EUR 138.21  0.67  0.48%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of DWS Top Dividende on the next trading day is expected to be 139.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 100.64. DWS Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for DWS Top Dividende is based on a synthetically constructed DWS Topdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

DWS Top 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 6th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of DWS Top Dividende on the next trading day is expected to be 139.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.45, mean absolute percentage error of 9.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 100.64.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict DWS Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that DWS Top's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

DWS Top Fund Forecast Pattern

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DWS Top Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting DWS Top's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. DWS Top's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 139.11 and 140.48, respectively. We have considered DWS Top's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
138.21
139.11
Downside
139.79
Expected Value
140.48
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of DWS Top fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent DWS Top fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria83.564
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.5286
MADMean absolute deviation2.4547
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0175
SAESum of the absolute errors100.644
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. DWS Top Dividende 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for DWS Top

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DWS Top Dividende. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
137.53138.21138.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
124.39139.01139.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
137.87138.55139.22
Details

Other Forecasting Options for DWS Top

For every potential investor in DWS, whether a beginner or expert, DWS Top's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. DWS Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in DWS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying DWS Top's price trends.

DWS Top Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with DWS Top fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of DWS Top could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing DWS Top by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

DWS Top Dividende Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of DWS Top's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of DWS Top's current price.

DWS Top Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how DWS Top fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading DWS Top shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying DWS Top fund market strength indicators, traders can identify DWS Top Dividende entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

DWS Top Risk Indicators

The analysis of DWS Top's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in DWS Top's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dws fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in DWS Fund

DWS Top financial ratios help investors to determine whether DWS Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DWS with respect to the benefits of owning DWS Top security.
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