Healthpeak Properties Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

HC5 Stock  EUR 19.20  0.10  0.52%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Healthpeak Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 19.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.07. Healthpeak Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Healthpeak Properties' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Healthpeak Properties is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Healthpeak Properties Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Healthpeak Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 19.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26, mean absolute percentage error of 0.10, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.07.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Healthpeak Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Healthpeak Properties' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Healthpeak Properties Stock Forecast Pattern

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Healthpeak Properties Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Healthpeak Properties' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Healthpeak Properties' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.84 and 20.56, respectively. We have considered Healthpeak Properties' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
19.20
19.20
Expected Value
20.56
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Healthpeak Properties stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Healthpeak Properties stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.1712
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0229
MADMean absolute deviation0.2554
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0126
SAESum of the absolute errors15.07
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Healthpeak Properties price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Healthpeak Properties. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Healthpeak Properties

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Healthpeak Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.8419.2020.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.3219.6821.04
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Healthpeak Properties

For every potential investor in Healthpeak, whether a beginner or expert, Healthpeak Properties' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Healthpeak Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Healthpeak. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Healthpeak Properties' price trends.

Healthpeak Properties Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Healthpeak Properties stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Healthpeak Properties could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Healthpeak Properties by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Healthpeak Properties Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Healthpeak Properties' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Healthpeak Properties' current price.

Healthpeak Properties Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Healthpeak Properties stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Healthpeak Properties shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Healthpeak Properties stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Healthpeak Properties entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Healthpeak Properties Risk Indicators

The analysis of Healthpeak Properties' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Healthpeak Properties' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting healthpeak stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Healthpeak Stock

When determining whether Healthpeak Properties offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Healthpeak Properties' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Healthpeak Properties Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Healthpeak Properties Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Healthpeak Properties to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Healthpeak Stock please use our How to Invest in Healthpeak Properties guide.
You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Healthpeak Properties' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Healthpeak Properties is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Healthpeak Properties' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.